Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 50.1% vs Smith 49.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 70.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 75.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 53.2%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Jarnkrok
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jarnkrok
Smith
Last 5: Jarnkrok 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Jarnkrok
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (301)
50.9% (666)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
70.0% (10)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
39.6% (144)
+4.2%
On power play, Smith has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Smith is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Smith
Home
53.8% (210)
50.9% (405)
Away
43.8% (121)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Smith
P1
48.7%
47.1%
P2
54.0%
49.6%
P3
47.6%
50.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Zack Smith |