Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +23.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Atkinson wins 30.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Atkinson 42.0% vs Stastny 54.2% (-23.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Atkinson 67.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 71.8%
Neutral zone
Atkinson 53.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Atkinson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Atkinson
Stastny
Last 5: Atkinson 2-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Atkinson
2
0
Atkinson
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Atkinson
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Atkinson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (72)
52.8% (657)
-20.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
61.0% (118)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
61.1% (72)
-61.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Atkinson is 30.6% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Atkinson shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Atkinson
Stastny
Home
30.0% (30)
53.0% (464)
Away
32.6% (46)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Atkinson
Stastny
P1
30.4%
47.9%
P2
29.0%
59.6%
P3
36.4%
54.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Atkinson
38.0%▬
37.0%
31.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Cam Atkinson |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Cam Atkinson |