Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Atkinson wins 28.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Atkinson 39.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Atkinson 84.7%
Defensive zone
Atkinson 69.6%
Neutral zone
Atkinson 80.3%
Result
Cam Atkinson favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Atkinson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Atkinson
Seguin
Last 9: Atkinson 2-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Atkinson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Atkinson
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
5
Atkinson
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Atkinson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (237)
53.7% (8,071)
-17.8%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
55.9% (810)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
49.3% (762)
-16.0%
On even strength, Seguin has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Atkinson is 28.7% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Atkinson shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Atkinson
Seguin
Home
37.3% (142)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
35.1% (148)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Atkinson
Seguin
P1
35.1%
52.8%
P2
33.8%
53.3%
P3
39.3%
54.7%
OT
42.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
32.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Atkinson
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Cam Atkinson |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cam Atkinson |