Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Soderberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Soderberg 51.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 72.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 71.0%
Neutral zone
Sutter 61.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Sutter
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Sutter
Soderberg
Last 6: Sutter 5-1 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Soderberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Soderberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Soderberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
53.0% (634)
+1.6%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
50.0% (28)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
37.5% (40)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Soderberg is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Sutter
Soderberg
Home
55.0% (714)
58.6% (324)
Away
53.5% (738)
46.3% (378)
By Period
Sutter
Soderberg
P1
54.3%
49.6%
P2
53.1%
56.7%
P3
54.8%
49.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |