Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Lazar 49.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 57.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Soderberg
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Soderberg
Lazar
Last 9: Soderberg 5-4 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
2
Soderberg
Lazar
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
2
Soderberg
Lazar
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
50.2% (2,658)
-1.9%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
52.3% (65)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
41.9% (415)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Soderberg shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Lazar
Home
50.2% (2,703)
50.1% (1,542)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
48.2% (1,596)
By Period
Soderberg
Lazar
P1
47.4%
48.9%
P2
48.2%
48.9%
P3
48.1%
49.5%
OT
46.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |