Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Ryan 55.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 74.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 67.3%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 74.1%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Soderberg
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Soderberg
Ryan
Last 10: Soderberg 3-7 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
3
Soderberg
Ryan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
5
Soderberg
Ryan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
6
Soderberg
Ryan
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
56.6% (4,102)
-8.3%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
53.2% (342)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
47.8% (649)
-7.0%
On even strength, Ryan has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Soderberg shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Ryan
Home
50.2% (2,703)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Soderberg
Ryan
P1
47.4%
55.1%
P2
48.2%
54.7%
P3
48.1%
56.0%
OT
46.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |