Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 46.0% vs Ryan 52.0% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 68.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 68.2%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 66.7%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Soderberg
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Soderberg
Ryan
Last 10: Soderberg 3-7 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Soderberg
Ryan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Soderberg
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
3
Soderberg
Ryan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (469)
54.1% (603)
-8.9%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
40.9% (44)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
45.9% (85)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Soderberg is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Soderberg shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Ryan
Home
44.4% (248)
52.5% (341)
Away
46.1% (293)
52.2% (391)
By Period
Soderberg
Ryan
P1
44.0%
56.0%
P2
49.2%
48.1%
P3
42.5%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |