Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 46.0% vs McCann 46.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 52.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 52.6%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 56.0%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Soderberg
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Soderberg
McCann
Last 5: Soderberg 4-1 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
0
Soderberg
McCann
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
McCann
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (469)
46.5% (477)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
46.3% (41)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
46.2% (52)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Soderberg is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Soderberg shoots left. McCann is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Soderberg
McCann
Home
44.4% (248)
46.3% (296)
Away
46.1% (293)
46.5% (275)
By Period
Soderberg
McCann
P1
44.0%
49.4%
P2
49.2%
44.5%
P3
42.5%
46.0%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |