Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Spezza 54.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 56.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 75.7%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 62.7%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Soderberg
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
26
(49 meetings)
23
26
Soderberg
Spezza
Last 10: Soderberg 5-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
10
Soderberg
Spezza
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
11
7
Soderberg
Spezza
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
9
Soderberg
Spezza
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
54.4% (7,990)
-6.1%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
56.8% (1,726)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
52.7% (643)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Soderberg shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Spezza
Home
50.2% (2,703)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Soderberg
Spezza
P1
47.4%
55.7%
P2
48.2%
54.4%
P3
48.1%
54.1%
OT
46.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |