Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 44.2% vs Spezza 53.7% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 72.5%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 69.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 71.1%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Soderberg
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Soderberg
Spezza
Last 5: Soderberg 0-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Soderberg
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Soderberg
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Soderberg
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (318)
53.9% (1,097)
-11.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
54.8% (250)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.8% (89)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Soderberg is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Soderberg shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Spezza
Home
45.5% (123)
55.8% (695)
Away
40.5% (205)
52.2% (741)
By Period
Soderberg
Spezza
P1
47.1%
50.3%
P2
41.7%
54.7%
P3
40.2%
56.0%
OT
33.3%
73.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.4%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |