Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Soderberg wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.5% vs Spezza 54.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 57.8%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 84.5%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 65.1%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Soderberg
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Soderberg
Spezza
Last 6: Soderberg 1-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Soderberg
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Soderberg
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (559)
53.2% (763)
-6.2%
Power Play
63.6% (77)
60.9% (197)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (83)
57.1% (21)
-24.6%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Soderberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Soderberg shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Spezza
Home
46.1% (369)
57.5% (518)
Away
48.3% (350)
51.8% (463)
By Period
Soderberg
Spezza
P1
49.2%
55.4%
P2
47.7%
54.1%
P3
44.7%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |