Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 44.2% vs Beagle 51.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 51.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 90.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 71.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Soderberg
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Soderberg
Beagle
Last 5: Soderberg 4-1 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
0
Soderberg
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (318)
51.2% (514)
-9.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
38.9% (18)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
63.4% (41)
-63.4%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +63.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Soderberg is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Soderberg shoots left. Beagle is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Beagle
Home
45.5% (123)
57.1% (280)
Away
40.5% (205)
46.4% (293)
By Period
Soderberg
Beagle
P1
47.1%
46.5%
P2
41.7%
56.3%
P3
40.2%
52.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.4%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |