Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Soderberg wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.7% vs Beagle 55.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 77.5%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 55.2%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 65.8%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Soderberg
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Soderberg
Beagle
Last 5: Soderberg 1-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Soderberg
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
3
Soderberg
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (634)
56.8% (799)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
64.7% (17)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
54.6% (291)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Soderberg is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Soderberg shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Beagle
Home
58.6% (324)
57.6% (552)
Away
46.3% (378)
55.1% (555)
By Period
Soderberg
Beagle
P1
49.6%
56.9%
P2
56.7%
59.0%
P3
49.8%
54.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.0%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |