Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Carter 53.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 69.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 58.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Soderberg
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Soderberg
Carter
Last 10: Soderberg 7-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
6
Soderberg
Carter
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
6
4
Soderberg
Carter
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
6
5
Soderberg
Carter
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
53.3% (8,728)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
57.3% (1,554)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
46.3% (1,087)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Soderberg shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Carter
Home
50.2% (2,703)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Soderberg
Carter
P1
47.4%
53.6%
P2
48.2%
52.8%
P3
48.1%
53.1%
OT
46.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |