Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.0%). Look for Pavelski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.1% vs Pavelski 51.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 55.2%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 65.0%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 53.6%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Soderberg
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Soderberg
Pavelski
Last 10: Soderberg 3-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Soderberg
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Soderberg
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Soderberg
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (296)
53.5% (508)
-2.1%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
51.7% (118)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
41.4% (70)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Soderberg is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Soderberg shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Pavelski
Home
53.2% (190)
54.3% (372)
Away
49.8% (201)
49.4% (324)
By Period
Soderberg
Pavelski
P1
48.6%
48.7%
P2
53.3%
57.7%
P3
51.0%
50.2%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |