Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.7% vs Ward 49.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 73.6%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 74.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 75.0%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Soderberg
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Soderberg
Ward
Last 6: Soderberg 5-1 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
0
Soderberg
Ward
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
1
Soderberg
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (634)
52.8% (339)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
48.5% (33)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
33.3% (84)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Soderberg is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Soderberg shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Ward
Home
58.6% (324)
53.4% (251)
Away
46.3% (378)
43.4% (205)
By Period
Soderberg
Ward
P1
49.6%
49.4%
P2
56.7%
46.9%
P3
49.8%
50.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.0%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |