Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 21 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 28-21 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 66.3%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 86.8%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 71.9%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Soderberg
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
28
(49 meetings)
21
28
Soderberg
Tavares
Last 10: Soderberg 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
18
Soderberg
Tavares
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
9
4
Soderberg
Tavares
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
9
6
Soderberg
Tavares
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
54.0% (16,108)
-5.7%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
56.5% (4,283)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
50.6% (620)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Tavares
Home
50.2% (2,703)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Soderberg
Tavares
P1
47.4%
55.0%
P2
48.2%
54.1%
P3
48.1%
54.1%
OT
46.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:50 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |