Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Soderberg wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 46.0% vs Tavares 54.9% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 64.4%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 69.1%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 66.4%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Soderberg
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Soderberg
Tavares
Last 10: Soderberg 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
5
Soderberg
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
2
Soderberg
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (469)
54.8% (861)
-9.6%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
57.5% (226)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
51.7% (29)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Soderberg is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Soderberg shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Tavares
Home
44.4% (248)
58.1% (559)
Away
46.1% (293)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Soderberg
Tavares
P1
44.0%
57.6%
P2
49.2%
55.5%
P3
42.5%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:50 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |