Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 33-24 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 85.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 73.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Soderberg
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
24
(57 meetings)
33
24
Soderberg
Staal
Last 10: Soderberg 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Soderberg
Staal
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
13
9
Soderberg
Staal
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
11
6
Soderberg
Staal
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
55.9% (14,620)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
62.7% (1,745)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
48.0% (2,896)
-7.2%
On power play, Staal has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Staal
Home
50.2% (2,703)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Soderberg
Staal
P1
47.4%
55.2%
P2
48.2%
55.9%
P3
48.1%
54.9%
OT
46.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |