Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.7%). Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Hayes 47.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.1%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 56.9%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 50.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Soderberg
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Soderberg
Hayes
Last 10: Soderberg 2-8 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
3
Soderberg
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
4
Soderberg
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Soderberg
Hayes
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
47.5% (6,708)
+0.8%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
51.7% (702)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
45.3% (697)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Hayes
Home
50.2% (2,703)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Soderberg
Hayes
P1
47.4%
47.5%
P2
48.2%
47.6%
P3
48.1%
47.9%
OT
46.4%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | OT | 00:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |