Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 46.0% vs Draisaitl 51.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 63.8%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 72.7%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 69.6%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Soderberg
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Soderberg
Draisaitl
Last 7: Soderberg 2-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Soderberg
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
1
Soderberg
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Soderberg
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (469)
51.5% (886)
-6.3%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
56.3% (272)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
46.8% (111)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Soderberg is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Soderberg shoots left. Draisaitl is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Draisaitl
Home
44.4% (248)
54.4% (634)
Away
46.1% (293)
49.8% (635)
By Period
Soderberg
Draisaitl
P1
44.0%
53.8%
P2
49.2%
55.3%
P3
42.5%
48.2%
OT
0.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |