Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Koivu 54.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 40-39 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 60.3%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 63.3%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 51.4%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Soderberg
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
40
(79 meetings)
39
40
Soderberg
Koivu
Last 10: Soderberg 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
12
13
Soderberg
Koivu
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
14
9
Soderberg
Koivu
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
13
18
Soderberg
Koivu
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
54.0% (9,465)
-5.7%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
58.6% (2,100)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
48.9% (1,688)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Koivu
Home
50.2% (2,703)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Soderberg
Koivu
P1
47.4%
53.5%
P2
48.2%
54.6%
P3
48.1%
54.0%
OT
46.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:41 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |