Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.5% vs Thompson 51.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 64.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 57.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Soderberg
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Soderberg
Thompson
Last 5: Soderberg 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
1
Soderberg
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (559)
53.2% (380)
-6.2%
Power Play
63.6% (77)
50.0% (16)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (83)
45.5% (55)
-13.0%
On power play, Soderberg has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Soderberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Soderberg shoots left. Thompson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Thompson
Home
46.1% (369)
53.9% (243)
Away
48.3% (350)
50.0% (208)
By Period
Soderberg
Thompson
P1
49.2%
46.9%
P2
47.7%
62.2%
P3
44.7%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |