Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.7% vs Thompson 52.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 51.6%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 54.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Soderberg
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Soderberg
Thompson
Last 7: Soderberg 4-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
1
Soderberg
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Soderberg
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (634)
56.3% (199)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
66.7% (6)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
35.0% (40)
+2.5%
On power play, Thompson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Soderberg is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Soderberg shoots left. Thompson is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Thompson
Home
58.6% (324)
59.5% (116)
Away
46.3% (378)
47.3% (129)
By Period
Soderberg
Thompson
P1
49.6%
47.4%
P2
56.7%
56.2%
P3
49.8%
55.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |