Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 46.0% vs Thompson 54.5% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 81.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 62.3%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 72.3%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Soderberg
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Soderberg
Thompson
Last 7: Soderberg 2-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Soderberg
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Soderberg
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (469)
55.8% (654)
-10.6%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
50.0% (10)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
51.2% (123)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Soderberg is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Soderberg shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Thompson
Home
44.4% (248)
57.0% (421)
Away
46.1% (293)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Soderberg
Thompson
P1
44.0%
57.9%
P2
49.2%
52.3%
P3
42.5%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |