Carl Soderberg vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.1%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 56.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Soderberg
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Soderberg
MacKinnon
Last 10: Soderberg 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Soderberg
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Soderberg
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
3
Soderberg
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
46.1% (11,218)
+2.2%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
53.3% (1,412)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
42.8% (502)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Soderberg shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Soderberg
MacKinnon
Home
50.2% (2,703)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Soderberg
MacKinnon
P1
47.4%
47.4%
P2
48.2%
46.6%
P3
48.1%
46.1%
OT
46.4%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 21, 2015 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |