Carl Soderberg vs Nathan MacKinnon
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 46.0% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 56.1%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 54.7%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 60.6%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Soderberg
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Soderberg
MacKinnon
Last 9: Soderberg 5-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
3
Soderberg
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (469)
44.4% (743)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
35.7% (70)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
25.9% (27)
+1.9%
On power play, Soderberg has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Soderberg is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Soderberg shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Soderberg
MacKinnon
Home
44.4% (248)
46.4% (394)
Away
46.1% (293)
40.1% (446)
By Period
Soderberg
MacKinnon
P1
44.0%
44.4%
P2
49.2%
38.2%
P3
42.5%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |