Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Dowd 50.8% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 54.5%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 57.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 63.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Soderberg
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Soderberg
Dowd
Last 10: Soderberg 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
5
3
Soderberg
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Soderberg
Dowd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
1
Soderberg
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
52.6% (5,850)
-4.3%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
56.1% (164)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
43.9% (1,600)
-3.1%
On even strength, Dowd has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Soderberg shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,015).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Dowd
Home
50.2% (2,703)
52.1% (3,753)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
49.6% (3,862)
By Period
Soderberg
Dowd
P1
47.4%
51.9%
P2
48.2%
50.7%
P3
48.1%
50.1%
OT
46.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |