Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Soderberg wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.7% vs Schmaltz 36.0% (+21.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 77.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 75.2%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 55.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Soderberg
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Soderberg
Schmaltz
Last 5: Soderberg 2-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Soderberg
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
1
Soderberg
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (634)
29.6% (253)
+23.4%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
50.0% (18)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
0.0% (1)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Soderberg is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Soderberg shoots left. Schmaltz is 28.4% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Schmaltz
Home
58.6% (324)
33.1% (139)
Away
46.3% (378)
28.6% (133)
By Period
Soderberg
Schmaltz
P1
49.6%
28.8%
P2
56.7%
31.7%
P3
49.8%
31.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
30.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |