Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Byron on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Byron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Byron 40.6% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Byron leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Byron 64.6%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 64.5%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 50.5%
Result
Paul Byron favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Soderberg
Byron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Soderberg
Byron
Last 10: Soderberg 6-4 Byron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byron
1
4
Soderberg
Byron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
0
Soderberg
Byron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Soderberg
Byron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Byron
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
40.6% (399)
+7.7%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
55.0% (20)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
26.2% (84)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byron shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Byron is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Byron
Home
50.2% (2,703)
41.7% (235)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
36.2% (268)
By Period
Soderberg
Byron
P1
47.4%
31.9%
P2
48.2%
46.5%
P3
48.1%
35.3%
OT
46.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Byron
54.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Paul Byron |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Paul Byron |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Byron |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Byron |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Paul Byron |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Paul Byron |