Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 46.0% vs Johansen 52.9% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 80.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 69.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 63.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Soderberg
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Soderberg
Johansen
Last 6: Soderberg 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
1
Soderberg
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (469)
53.4% (845)
-8.2%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
58.8% (102)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
44.7% (85)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Soderberg is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Soderberg shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Johansen
Home
44.4% (248)
53.2% (479)
Away
46.1% (293)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Soderberg
Johansen
P1
44.0%
53.8%
P2
49.2%
53.9%
P3
42.5%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |