Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.6%). Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Soderberg wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.1% vs Johansen 51.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.6%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 65.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.7%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Soderberg
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Soderberg
Johansen
Last 10: Soderberg 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Soderberg
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
5
1
Soderberg
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Soderberg
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (296)
51.5% (615)
-0.1%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
54.3% (140)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
46.3% (67)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Soderberg is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Soderberg shoots left. Johansen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Johansen
Home
53.2% (190)
52.4% (389)
Away
49.8% (201)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Soderberg
Johansen
P1
48.6%
53.4%
P2
53.3%
49.1%
P3
51.0%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 27, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |