Carl Soderberg vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 31-26 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 65.8%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 67.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 66.7%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Soderberg
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
31
(57 meetings)
26
31
Soderberg
O'Reilly
Last 10: Soderberg 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
12
Soderberg
O'Reilly
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
14
11
Soderberg
O'Reilly
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
7
8
Soderberg
O'Reilly
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.9%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
58.8% (3,445)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
51.4% (2,811)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Soderberg
O'Reilly
Home
50.2% (2,703)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Soderberg
O'Reilly
P1
47.4%
55.6%
P2
48.2%
57.0%
P3
48.1%
55.1%
OT
46.4%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2019 | OT | 01:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |