Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Soderberg wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.1% vs Gagner 47.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 53.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 53.5%
Neutral zone
Gagner 52.9%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Soderberg
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Soderberg
Gagner
Last 6: Soderberg 3-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (296)
45.4% (119)
+6.0%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
50.0% (40)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
42.9% (21)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Soderberg is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Soderberg shoots left. Gagner is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Gagner
Home
53.2% (190)
49.0% (104)
Away
49.8% (201)
42.1% (76)
By Period
Soderberg
Gagner
P1
48.6%
44.4%
P2
53.3%
44.6%
P3
51.0%
49.3%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |