Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.1%). Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.1% vs Lorentz 50.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 51.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 65.9%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 55.6%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Soderberg
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Soderberg
Lorentz
Last 7: Soderberg 5-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
2
Soderberg
Lorentz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (296)
51.7% (292)
-0.3%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
40.0% (10)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
42.9% (7)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Soderberg is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Soderberg shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Lorentz
Home
53.2% (190)
52.3% (155)
Away
49.8% (201)
50.0% (154)
By Period
Soderberg
Lorentz
P1
48.6%
59.2%
P2
53.3%
50.9%
P3
51.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.4%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 08:59 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |