Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Soderberg wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.1% vs Stamkos 55.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 51.5%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 59.7%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 53.8%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Soderberg
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Soderberg
Stamkos
Last 10: Soderberg 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
7
0
Soderberg
Stamkos
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
9
Soderberg
Stamkos
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Soderberg
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (296)
56.5% (246)
-5.1%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
61.4% (101)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
53.6% (69)
+3.1%
On power play, Stamkos has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Soderberg is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Soderberg shoots left. Stamkos is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Stamkos
Home
53.2% (190)
54.7% (170)
Away
49.8% (201)
58.9% (246)
By Period
Soderberg
Stamkos
P1
48.6%
60.9%
P2
53.3%
59.2%
P3
51.0%
50.4%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
67.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | OT | 04:14 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |