Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.7% vs Graovac 48.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 53.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 77.3%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 60.3%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Soderberg
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Soderberg
Graovac
Last 7: Soderberg 4-3 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
0
2
Soderberg
Graovac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
1
Soderberg
Graovac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (634)
47.5% (341)
+5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Soderberg has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Soderberg is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Soderberg shoots left. Graovac is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Graovac
Home
58.6% (324)
48.6% (181)
Away
46.3% (378)
46.3% (162)
By Period
Soderberg
Graovac
P1
49.6%
42.4%
P2
56.7%
46.8%
P3
49.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.0%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |