Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.2%). Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Gourde 48.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 57.7%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 51.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Soderberg
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Soderberg
Gourde
Last 10: Soderberg 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
3
Soderberg
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
1
Soderberg
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
48.4% (4,954)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
57.4% (376)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
39.9% (554)
+0.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Gourde
Home
50.2% (2,703)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Soderberg
Gourde
P1
47.4%
49.9%
P2
48.2%
47.4%
P3
48.1%
47.5%
OT
46.4%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |