Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.9%). Rowney wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Wagner 49.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 55.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 54.0%
Neutral zone
Rowney 53.5%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Rowney
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rowney
Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Wagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
50.8% (1,243)
-1.4%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
40.0% (20)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
42.0% (307)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Rowney is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Rowney shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Rowney
Wagner
Home
50.4% (577)
49.8% (817)
Away
47.9% (560)
47.9% (753)
By Period
Rowney
Wagner
P1
50.1%
48.6%
P2
47.9%
48.6%
P3
49.3%
49.5%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |