Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rowney wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Giroux 57.3% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 55.9%
Defensive zone
Rowney 62.3%
Neutral zone
Rowney 65.9%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Rowney
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rowney
Giroux
Last 6: Rowney 2-4 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Rowney
Giroux
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
3
Rowney
Giroux
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
55.9% (765)
-6.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
64.9% (265)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
55.6% (133)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Rowney is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Rowney shoots right. Giroux is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Rowney
Giroux
Home
51.0% (143)
60.1% (561)
Away
48.0% (204)
55.9% (603)
By Period
Rowney
Giroux
P1
49.6%
61.1%
P2
47.7%
53.1%
P3
50.9%
59.3%
OT
0.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
64.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |