Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.5%). Look for Rowney on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 57.8%
Defensive zone
Rowney 52.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 54.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Rowney
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rowney
Nielsen
Last 7: Rowney 2-5 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Rowney
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Rowney
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
1
Rowney
Nielsen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
49.3% (7,608)
+0.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
54.7% (594)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
41.7% (1,420)
+6.9%
On power play, Nielsen has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Home / Away
Rowney
Nielsen
Home
50.4% (577)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
47.9% (560)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Rowney
Nielsen
P1
50.1%
49.7%
P2
47.9%
47.6%
P3
49.3%
48.2%
OT
60.0%
46.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |