Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rowney wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Compher 47.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 51.6%
Defensive zone
Rowney 52.3%
Neutral zone
Rowney 53.9%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Rowney
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rowney
Compher
Last 5: Rowney 4-1 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Rowney
Compher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
3
0
Rowney
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
48.7% (5,716)
+0.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
52.6% (682)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
41.9% (1,421)
+6.7%
On power play, Compher has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Rowney is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Rowney shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Home / Away
Rowney
Compher
Home
50.4% (577)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
47.9% (560)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
Rowney
Compher
P1
50.1%
49.1%
P2
47.9%
47.3%
P3
49.3%
47.4%
OT
60.0%
40.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |