Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rowney wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 52.2% vs Toews 57.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 55.0%
Defensive zone
Rowney 88.8%
Neutral zone
Rowney 69.6%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Rowney
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Rowney
Toews
Last 8: Rowney 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
5
Rowney
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (219)
58.4% (1,115)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (91)
50.5% (182)
+4.4%
On even strength, Toews has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Rowney is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (197).
Rowney shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Rowney
Toews
Home
55.3% (152)
59.5% (783)
Away
50.6% (158)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Rowney
Toews
P1
54.1%
58.4%
P2
49.6%
59.4%
P3
54.3%
55.9%
OT
100.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
47.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |