Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Kempe 40.7% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 59.6%
Defensive zone
Rowney 60.7%
Neutral zone
Kempe 55.5%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Rowney
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Rowney
Kempe
Last 9: Rowney 4-5 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
2
Rowney
Kempe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Rowney
Kempe
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
38.7% (380)
+10.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
31.3% (16)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Kempe is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Rowney
Kempe
Home
50.4% (577)
40.1% (177)
Away
47.9% (560)
36.9% (222)
By Period
Rowney
Kempe
P1
50.1%
34.7%
P2
47.9%
40.4%
P3
49.3%
38.8%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |