Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Kempe 41.0% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 57.0%
Defensive zone
Kempe 59.0%
Neutral zone
Kempe 56.6%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Rowney
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Rowney
Kempe
Last 9: Rowney 4-5 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
2
Rowney
Kempe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Rowney
Kempe
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
38.5% (312)
+11.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
33.3% (3)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
35.7% (14)
+10.0%
On power play, Rowney has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Rowney is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Rowney shoots right. Kempe is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Rowney
Kempe
Home
51.0% (143)
38.8% (160)
Away
48.0% (204)
37.9% (169)
By Period
Rowney
Kempe
P1
49.6%
35.9%
P2
47.7%
39.0%
P3
50.9%
38.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |