Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rowney wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Scheifele 46.5% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.0%
Defensive zone
Rowney 65.1%
Neutral zone
Rowney 61.1%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Rowney
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Rowney
Scheifele
Last 7: Rowney 4-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
1
Rowney
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
46.0% (1,277)
+3.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
50.4% (339)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
37.5% (120)
+8.2%
On power play, Rowney has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Rowney is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Rowney shoots right. Scheifele is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Rowney
Scheifele
Home
51.0% (143)
49.0% (836)
Away
48.0% (204)
43.7% (900)
By Period
Rowney
Scheifele
P1
49.6%
46.4%
P2
47.7%
46.0%
P3
50.9%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |