Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Ellis 46.8% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Ellis 51.3%
Defensive zone
Rowney 56.6%
Neutral zone
Ellis 51.3%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Rowney
Ellis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
47.3% (607)
+2.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
28.6% (7)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
42.1% (95)
+6.5%
On power play, Rowney has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Ellis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Rowney
Ellis
Home
50.4% (577)
48.5% (303)
Away
47.9% (560)
44.8% (406)
By Period
Rowney
Ellis
P1
50.1%
50.0%
P2
47.9%
46.2%
P3
49.3%
41.3%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%