Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Rowney wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 71.9%
Defensive zone
Rowney 66.8%
Neutral zone
Rowney 50.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Rowney
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Rowney
Bozak
Last 10: Rowney 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
7
Rowney
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
4
0
Rowney
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
1
Rowney
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
53.7% (9,596)
-4.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
55.2% (1,990)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
48.0% (1,094)
+0.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Rowney is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Rowney shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Rowney
Bozak
Home
50.4% (577)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.9% (560)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Rowney
Bozak
P1
50.1%
53.2%
P2
47.9%
52.8%
P3
49.3%
54.5%
OT
60.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |