Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 48.7% vs Bozak 56.2% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 51.3%
Defensive zone
Rowney 62.5%
Neutral zone
Rowney 58.9%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Rowney
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rowney
Bozak
Last 9: Rowney 3-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
5
Rowney
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
0
Rowney
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Rowney
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (177)
56.5% (1,119)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
50.0% (20)
-2.4%
On even strength, Bozak has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Rowney is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Rowney shoots right. Bozak is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Rowney
Bozak
Home
46.2% (104)
60.1% (682)
Away
50.0% (94)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Rowney
Bozak
P1
46.4%
57.7%
P2
46.5%
53.7%
P3
50.7%
59.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
48.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |