Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 50.1%). Look for Rowney on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.2% vs Rask 50.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Rowney leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 85.8%
Defensive zone
Rowney 68.9%
Neutral zone
Rask 62.7%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Rowney
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Rowney
Rask
Last 10: Rowney 8-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
3
1
Rowney
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
4
0
Rowney
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (924)
50.0% (4,428)
-0.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
54.3% (363)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (208)
35.2% (54)
+13.4%
On power play, Rask has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Rowney shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Rowney
Rask
Home
50.4% (577)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
47.9% (560)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Rowney
Rask
P1
50.1%
50.7%
P2
47.9%
48.9%
P3
49.3%
50.7%
OT
60.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |